An Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models

Nomos, 1. Edition 2021, 60 Pages
The product is part of the series GIDS Analysis
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ISBN 978-3-8487-7156-1
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ISBN 978-3-7489-1208-8
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Description
This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998–2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.
Bibliographical data
Bibliographical data
Edition 1
ISBN 978-3-8487-7156-1
Publication Date May 27, 2021
Year of Publication 2021
Publisher Nomos
Format Softcover
Language englisch
Pages 60
Medium Book
Product Type Scientific literature
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