An Enquiry Into Linear Conflict Models
Nomos, 1. Edition 2021, 60 Pages
The product is part of the series
GIDS Analysis
Description
This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998–2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.
Bibliographical data
Edition | 1 |
---|---|
ISBN | 978-3-8487-7156-1 |
Publication Date | May 27, 2021 |
Year of Publication | 2021 |
Publisher | Nomos |
Format | Softcover |
Language | englisch |
Pages | 60 |
Medium | Book |
Product Type | Scientific literature |
Additional material
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